{"id":7595,"date":"2026-01-30T03:48:29","date_gmt":"2026-01-30T03:48:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/garlics.com\/?p=7595"},"modified":"2026-01-30T03:48:29","modified_gmt":"2026-01-30T03:48:29","slug":"le-compte-a-rebours-du-nouvel-an-chinois-commence-lexpedition-dail-avant-les-fetes-est-possible","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/garlics.com\/fr\/blog\/chinese-new-year-countdown-begins-is-pre-holiday-shipment-of-garlic-imports-feasible\/","title":{"rendered":"Le compte \u00e0 rebours du Nouvel An chinois commence - Est-il possible d'exp\u00e9dier de l'ail avant les f\u00eates ?"},"content":{"rendered":"

La f\u00eate traditionnelle la plus importante de Chine - la f\u00eate du printemps (15 f\u00e9vrier) - est maintenant dans sa phase de compte \u00e0 rebours. Pour les partenaires qui importent de l'ail de Chine, une question importante se pose : Est-il pr\u00e9f\u00e9rable de passer les commandes et d'organiser les exp\u00e9ditions avant la f\u00eate du printemps ?<\/p>\n

Cet article analyse trois domaines cl\u00e9s : l'\u00e9volution des prix, l'efficacit\u00e9 logistique et le contr\u00f4le des co\u00fbts. Il propose des conseils pour une prise de d\u00e9cision professionnelle afin de vous aider \u00e0 r\u00e9duire les risques li\u00e9s \u00e0 la cha\u00eene d'approvisionnement avant les f\u00eates.<\/p>\n

<\/span>I. Prix de l'ail : La hausse des prix \u00e0 court terme ne devrait pas durer, une l\u00e9g\u00e8re baisse est attendue avant la f\u00eate du printemps<\/span><\/span><\/h2>\n

\"jining<\/p>\n

Depuis le 10 janvier, le march\u00e9 int\u00e9rieur chinois de l'ail a connu une nouvelle s\u00e9rie d'augmentations de prix. Cette hausse des prix est due \u00e0 deux facteurs principaux. Tout d'abord, le march\u00e9 des contrats \u00e0 terme est positif. D'autre part, une explosion des commandes de stockage avant les f\u00eates stimule la demande. Ensemble, ces \u00e9l\u00e9ments permettent au march\u00e9 de sortir de son marasme ant\u00e9rieur.<\/p>\n

La structure actuelle du march\u00e9 n'a pas fondamentalement chang\u00e9, elle est bas\u00e9e sur l'offre et la demande. Les statistiques de l'industrie montrent que la superficie de plantation d'ail pour 2026 atteindra 12 millions de mu. Le rendement par mu pourrait diminuer l\u00e9g\u00e8rement en raison de la plantation tardive. N\u00e9anmoins, la production totale devrait atteindre environ 15,95 millions de tonnes, comme l'ann\u00e9e derni\u00e8re.<\/p>\n

Les niveaux de stocks sont essentiels. Au d\u00e9but du mois de d\u00e9cembre 2025, les stocks d'ail en chambre froide s'\u00e9levaient \u00e0 67%, soit environ 3,49 millions de tonnes. Des niveaux de stocks ad\u00e9quats contribueront \u00e0 maintenir les prix stables. Le march\u00e9 n'a pas ce qu'il faut pour une hausse \u00e0 long terme.<\/p>\n

La variable centrale de l'\u00e9volution future des prix sera la croissance des plants d'ail dans les champs. L'automne dernier, les pr\u00e9cipitations excessives dans les principales zones de culture ont retard\u00e9 la plantation de l'ail. Cela a entra\u00een\u00e9 des diff\u00e9rences importantes dans la croissance des semis. \u00c0 Jinxiang, dans le Shandong, une r\u00e9gion cl\u00e9 pour l'ail, les plants plant\u00e9s t\u00f4t ont 8 \u00e0 9 feuilles et poussent bien. Les plantules plant\u00e9es tardivement n'ont que 3 \u00e0 5 feuilles. Cela indique une croissance plus faible et une moins bonne r\u00e9sistance au froid. Si les temp\u00e9ratures chutent fortement en f\u00e9vrier, les semis tardifs risquent fort d'\u00eatre endommag\u00e9s par le gel. Cela pourrait avoir un impact sur le rendement de la nouvelle saison.<\/p>\n

En r\u00e9sum\u00e9, cette hausse \u00e0 court terme des prix de l'ail n'est pas durable. Depuis le 20 janvier, les prix du march\u00e9 se sont stabilis\u00e9s et une l\u00e9g\u00e8re baisse est attendue avant la f\u00eate du printemps.<\/p>\n

<\/span>II. Logistique et transport : Capacit\u00e9 restreinte et risque accru de retards d'exp\u00e9dition avant la f\u00eate du printemps<\/span><\/span><\/h2>\n

\"Ail<\/p>\n

La p\u00e9riode pr\u00e9c\u00e9dant la f\u00eate du printemps est une p\u00e9riode charg\u00e9e pour la logistique et les transports nationaux. Pendant cette saison, les capacit\u00e9s sont limit\u00e9es et l'efficacit\u00e9 des rotations diminue consid\u00e9rablement.<\/p>\n

\u00c0 l'approche de la f\u00eate du printemps, les travailleurs portuaires commencent \u00e0 rentrer chez eux. Cela signifie qu'il y aura moins de travailleurs pour le chargement, le d\u00e9chargement, les douanes et les inspections. Les \u00e9quipes de travail vont donc se r\u00e9duire et la manutention des marchandises va ralentir. Si les marchandises arrivent au port de destination pendant la f\u00eate du printemps, il faut s'attendre \u00e0 des retards. Le d\u00e9douanement peut prendre plus de temps parce qu'il n'y a pas assez de travailleurs portuaires. Les dates d'exp\u00e9dition risquent de ne pas \u00eatre respect\u00e9es et le calendrier des stocks pourrait \u00eatre perturb\u00e9.<\/p>\n

<\/span>III. Contr\u00f4le des co\u00fbts : La hausse des co\u00fbts de la main-d'\u0153uvre et des transports r\u00e9duit les marges b\u00e9n\u00e9ficiaires<\/span><\/span><\/h2>\n

\"Premium-Chinese-Garlic-Exporter-Dispatch-to-Tunisia\"<\/p>\n

<\/span>(1) La flamb\u00e9e des co\u00fbts de transport<\/span><\/h3>\n

Les entreprises de logistique facturent souvent des suppl\u00e9ments en p\u00e9riode de pointe avant les vacances. Cela peut faire augmenter les tarifs du fret maritime. Les co\u00fbts du transport national \u00e0 courte distance augmenteront. Cela augmentera directement les co\u00fbts logistiques globaux des marchandises.<\/p>\n

<\/span>(2) Co\u00fbts de main-d'\u0153uvre \u00e9lev\u00e9s<\/span><\/h3>\n

Les heures suppl\u00e9mentaires des \u00e9quipes de chargement et de d\u00e9chargement et des courtiers en douane entra\u00eenent des salaires \u00e9lev\u00e9s pour les entreprises. L'embauche temporaire de personnel suppl\u00e9mentaire est \u00e9galement co\u00fbteuse. En outre, l'acc\u00e9l\u00e9ration des op\u00e9rations de d\u00e9douanement et d'inspection n\u00e9cessite des frais de service suppl\u00e9mentaires. Cela augmente encore les co\u00fbts d'exploitation.<\/p>\n

Dans mon pays, la f\u00eate du printemps est officiellement c\u00e9l\u00e9br\u00e9e du 14 au 24 f\u00e9vrier. Toutefois, les ouvriers quittent g\u00e9n\u00e9ralement le travail plus t\u00f4t pour acheter des produits de la nouvelle ann\u00e9e et se pr\u00e9parer aux festivit\u00e9s. Cela entra\u00eene une p\u00e9nurie de main-d'\u0153uvre dans les usines avant les vacances. En cons\u00e9quence, l'efficacit\u00e9 de la production diminue, ce qui entra\u00eene une augmentation des co\u00fbts de main-d'\u0153uvre par produit.<\/p>\n

Le retour au travail des travailleurs apr\u00e8s les vacances est \u00e9galement retard\u00e9. En g\u00e9n\u00e9ral, le taux de retour au travail de l'usine est d'environ 25% au cours de la premi\u00e8re semaine suivant les vacances. Les effectifs complets et la production \u00e0 pleine capacit\u00e9 se produisent au cours de la deuxi\u00e8me semaine.<\/p>\n

<\/span>IV. Recommandations en mati\u00e8re de passation de march\u00e9s<\/span><\/span><\/h2>\n

\"fournisseur<\/p>\n

L'analyse ci-dessus permet de tirer les conclusions suivantes :<\/p>\n

1. Si vous pr\u00e9voyez de commander de l'ail avant la f\u00eate du printemps, les deux prochaines semaines constituent la p\u00e9riode optimale. \u00c0 l'approche de la f\u00eate du printemps, les facteurs al\u00e9atoires li\u00e9s \u00e0 la logistique et \u00e0 la production seront plus nombreux. Ces probl\u00e8mes entra\u00eeneront probablement des retards d'exp\u00e9dition, des perturbations dans les transports locaux et des blocages de la production.<\/p>\n

2. Si vous estimez que les prix sont trop \u00e9lev\u00e9s et que vous pr\u00e9voyez d'acheter apr\u00e8s la f\u00eate du printemps, soyez pr\u00e9voyant. Les usines ne reprendront pas compl\u00e8tement la production ou les exp\u00e9ditions avant la premi\u00e8re ou la deuxi\u00e8me semaine de mars.<\/p>\n

Nous vous sugg\u00e9rons de tenir compte de la demande des consommateurs locaux et de la rotation de vos stocks. Cela vous aidera \u00e0 planifier vos achats d'ail et vos exp\u00e9ditions. Vous pourrez ainsi r\u00e9duire les risques li\u00e9s \u00e0 la cha\u00eene d'approvisionnement avant la f\u00eate du printemps et assurer le bon fonctionnement de votre entreprise.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

La f\u00eate traditionnelle la plus importante de Chine - la f\u00eate du printemps (15 f\u00e9vrier) - est maintenant dans sa phase de compte \u00e0 rebours. Pour les partenaires qui importent de l'ail de Chine, une question importante se pose : Est-il pr\u00e9f\u00e9rable de passer les commandes et d'organiser les exp\u00e9ditions avant la f\u00eate du printemps ? Cet article analysera trois domaines cl\u00e9s : l'\u00e9volution des prix, l'efficacit\u00e9 de la logistique et le contr\u00f4le des co\u00fbts....<\/p>","protected":false},"author":10,"featured_media":7563,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[362],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-7595","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-garlic-wholesale-guides"],"yoast_head":"\nChinese New Year Countdown Begins - Is Pre-Holiday Shipment of Garlic Imports Feasible? -<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/garlics.com\/fr\/blog\/le-compte-a-rebours-du-nouvel-an-chinois-commence-lexpedition-dail-avant-les-fetes-est-possible\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Chinese New Year Countdown Begins - Is Pre-Holiday Shipment of Garlic Imports Feasible? -\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"China’s most important traditional festival \u2013 the Spring Festival (February 15th) \u2013 is now in its countdown phase. 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